Originally posted by SeanRock
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Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle 2018
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Fabulous Saga possibly too big at 20s with Hills after a spirited performance today battling back really well to win the race Penhill won last year. Looks held by Cracking Smart on earlier form but seems to have improved. Possibly prefers soft ground, though did win a good ground bumper.
I’m a bit confused by the top of the market in this one. OTBS seemingly heading to the Ballymore, Next Destination seemingly having a turn of foot that surely makes him more suited to the shorter race (could even be a left field candidate for the Supreme? Stranger things have happened). Samcro won’t be going here.
So basically Cracking Smart is the first in the list who you can be confident is heading here. Seemed to clearly want further when a staying on 2nd to Next Destination and at this stage he probably rates a decent value bet at 16s in a market that could change quite significantly as targets for others become more certain.
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The thing I do like about Fabulous Saga is you KNOW it gets the trip and no doubt this would be the target. ALso a plus Penhill won the race last year, Mullins being a creature of habit and all. I also like the fact they are getting runs in to the horse because I think you need a battle hardened horse willing to put everything in to win the Albert Bartlett!
Negatives would be that I tihnk it'll could be the Mullins second string as Next Destination would be fav here, and not fav in the Ballymore, and therefore would probably be double figures on the day. Also that Fabulous Saga might NEED the ground? Plus, as you said, Cracking Smart does look to have her quite well held?
20/1 certainly tempting though... I can't quite decide.
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Me neither. I find I can be easily persuaded when a firm is a standout price like Hills 20/1. At the general 14s (only 10 with Stan James!) I’d be happy to leave alone but 20s looks value for a horse with a lot of ticks.
The other decision I need to make in this race is whether to cash out my OTBS bet - after all of Henderson’s comments he’s surely now going Ballymore?? I’m tempted to reinvest those pts on Cracking Smart and Fabulous Saga.
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Originally posted by Viking Flagship View PostMe neither. I find I can be easily persuaded when a firm is a standout price like Hills 20/1. At the general 14s (only 10 with Stan James!) I’d be happy to leave alone but 20s looks value for a horse with a lot of ticks.
The other decision I need to make in this race is whether to cash out my OTBS bet - after all of Henderson’s comments he’s surely now going Ballymore?? I’m tempted to reinvest those pts on Cracking Smart and Fabulous Saga.
I also cashed out the OTBS AB bets because I think missing the Challow hurdle eliminates any chance at all they step him up. There was a small chance Hendo would go AB after that race if things went against the horse.... but now, they'll have an easier prep or just go straight to the Ballymore. Cash out.
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In case anyone on the booze like me missed this lol -
Nicky HendersonVerified account @sevenbarrows · Dec 26
Sadly ON THE BLIND SIDE has banged a hind joint which has forced him out of the G1 Challow Hurdle @NewburyRacing on Saturday. Obviously it is a real shame but he’ll now have his mid-season break and we hope to have him ready for a prep race before @CheltenhamRaces.
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Just read on the sporting life website that Fergal o'brien has confirmed that yesterdays winner Poetic rythm will go straight to
Cheltenham festival for the albert Bartlett hurdle , .good new's for anyone that's backed him already.
He's quoted at 14-1 .Last edited by BigChaang; 31 December 2017, 02:31 PM.
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Just backed poetic rythym 25/1 ew for the bartlett.
I'd liked him since his opener at chepstow. All his form reads well and he's a tough consistent horse, kilbricken storms form as a stayer works out well for me, so to have him so far back Is a good sign.
Was going to wait bud Lydia has just put him up so her followers may take the price away.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!
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Originally posted by Scooby91 View PostJust backed poetic rythym 25/1 ew for the bartlett.
I'd liked him since his opener at chepstow. All his form reads well and he's a tough consistent horse, kilbricken storms form as a stayer works out well for me, so to have him so far back Is a good sign.
Was going to wait bud Lydia has just put him up so her followers may take the price away.
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I have this race narrowed down to.
Blow by blow
Poetic rythym
Next destination (poss ballymore)
On the blind side (bally more)
Getabird (poss ballymore)
Duc des genievres
Early doors (prob ballymore)
Red jack
cracking smart
Jetz
Sam Brown
Discorama
Momella (mare)
Have backed.
Poetic rythym ew 25s
Cracking smart 14/1
Next destination 25/1
Getabird 25/1
On the blind side 16/1
Could easily have 4 non runners there. But in time will sort itself out.Last edited by Scooby91; 5 January 2018, 11:00 AM.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!
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Originally posted by Scooby91 View PostI have this race narrowed down to.
Blow by blow
Poetic rythym
Next destination (poss ballymore)
On the blind side (bally more)
Getabird (poss ballymore)
Duc des genievres
Early doors (prob ballymore)
Red jack
cracking smart
Jetz
Sam Brown
Discorama
Momella (mare)
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Originally posted by Robbante View PostI'd also have Ravenhill Road in there. Like the profile of that one for this race, Ellison has been insistent that he needs 3 miles. Slate House could be aimed here i guess but unlikely, and i like the Henderson horse Monbeg Legend (the plan was always to start him back up early this year)
Every one sees it differently though and I'm sure there will be plenty of people who have ruled out the ones iv backed.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!
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Originally posted by Robbante View PostI'd also have Ravenhill Road in there. Like the profile of that one for this race, Ellison has been insistent that he needs 3 miles. Slate House could be aimed here i guess but unlikely, and i like the Henderson horse Monbeg Legend (the plan was always to start him back up early this year)
Edit: Sorry replied with the wrong quote there... meant to reply to Scooby's list!
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Originally posted by Can't Catch Me View PostWhat makes you think Early Doors is a possible for this Scooby? I've backed him for the Supreme... could maybe see him stepping up for the Ballymore, but struggle to see how he would run in this?
Edit: Sorry replied with the wrong quote there... meant to reply to Scooby's list!
Certainly in time he wants further.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!
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