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I backed him for this the minute he went past the post at Nass kev, I haven't mentioned him before because I cant find the quote from Mullins about him being at the time his number one bumper horse for last year, which I've had in my notebook for over a year. ..Yes the amount of runs is a worry but Willie wouldn't put him in this if they were still minding him. I can see him running a big race.
I know FM is keen too
Not one for me, but wouldn't let that put anyone off
Couldn't argue that he won't put in trhe best performance of his career so far looking at his profile...so I suppose it comes down to just how good that'll be.
Regularly the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle market is headed by a horse that’s undefeated after three or four runs, however they regularly then get beaten at Cheltenham by horse with far more experience.
That’s because the Albert Bartlett field tends to go at a really strong pace in the early stage and that pace usually collapses given the stiff three miles at Cheltenham. You’d want to be going with something a bit more streetwise and Talkischeap falls exactly into that category.
He’s had 11 outings – when you include his three point-to-points – and in his four runs over three miles, he’s won them all. He came to my attention in his outing at Newbury when running over three miles on soft ground, which wouldn’t be his preference.
He settled beautifully and travelled powerfully to win very comprehensively. He’s gone up to a mark of 142 off the back of that, which suggests to me he needs to improve another eight pounds to be winning this. However, the way he settles and travels, he’s one you can bury out the back of the field and let him produce it late.
He’s 20/1 at the moment, I’ve got involved with that and I wouldn’t put anyone off having a few quid on him each-way.
He’ll run in the Albert Bartlett. He has had his wind tidied up since his last run and he could run well at a decent price. I think he’ll appreciate the better ground as he just didn’t get home the last day at Leopardstown. He’ll wear a tongue tie for the first time as well.
I like this horse too and I wouldn't get hung up about Eddie's comments about him appreciating better ground though, there's enough confusing ground preferences in his family to suggest he'd actually prefer easier underfoot conditions, it could go either way..
Tower bridge 20/1 with bet365...just shown improvement for a step up to 2m6f to win a Grade 1 where he galloped through the line. Think the new course, step up to 3m and better ground will bring further improvement.
Backing a real battle-hardened horse with plenty of runs under its belt seems to be all the rage for this years renewal, and I can't say it's without its merits. Scarpeta of Willie Mullins', would fit the bill, as he would be making his 16th career start at Cheltenham. Although, the fact that he hasn't ran over further than 2 miles would haver to be a major concern.
In any case, the exchanges would suggest the Ballymore is the preferred target for this 5yo Soldier of Fortune gelding, but this looks by far the more winnable race. He has plenty of experience in big fields, and he won his maiden on bottomless ground by staying rather than anything else to my eyes. Similar profile to Penhill albeit with a lot less experience over hurdles.
What on earth is Fabulous saga still doing at 25/1!
3 miles in bad ground?
Kevin Blake just highlighted it and I've mentioned him before and I can't believe he's that price.
Grade 1 winner, plenty of runs. Proven in the ground?
I have just got involved in this race on Dortmund Park for similar reasons. I'm happy to forgive it the last run as something just didnt seem right, it went from travelling all over the field 2 out to emptying like a drain when asked . I think I read its had a wind op since then. Has bundles of stamina, handles heavy ground if it needs too and if Elliott gets on a roll on the first two days, then can see Dortmund Park going off more like 10s rather than the current 20s on offer.
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