Arkle 2018

[ComplyOrDie]

Paddy Mullins said last night that he is “bouncing” and in “fantastic form”. Unless something awry today it’s probably nothing...probably..

Yeah, I'd hope it was nothing after the quotes from last night.

[FaugheenTheMachine]

Could be just a price correction hopefully? King has confirmed Sceau Royal will run in this today; looking like the race of the festival which makes a nice change

[Rhinestone_Cowboy]

Yeah, I'd hope it was nothing after the quotes from last night.

Wouldn't worry about that at all CoD. Plenty of money has come for PM after the Irish Arkle and for SC after his performance on Saturday so no way Footpad was going to remain odds on. I'm guessing the following SPs:

Footpad 6/4
PM 4/1
SC 5/1

[charlie]

Okay ---- remember 100/1 Rawnaq? I've got another, albeit not as strong a case to be made, as we all know if Rawnaq didn't get injured he was a GOOD THING

I've added a 100/1 shot with BFSB - Saint Calvados. A while back, on the mares thread Brital mentioned he'd added Saint Calvados at 100/1 for the Arkle.... I popped him in the tracker and waited.

He made his debut over fences off 143 in a handicap last week and beat a horse who is fairly exposed but decentish in Remiluc easily by 9L in the end carrying loads more weight. For his first run, I loved the way he jumped the majority of his fences, really quick and accurate! He's with Harry Whittington (who had Arzal) and I reckon this horse could be as good. (Arzal won a Group 1).

I also checked Mark Howards One Jump Ahead and he gets a mention in Venetia Williams' section, where is says he won 3 hurdle races in France and should be better over fences. (Can only assume he's moved since then to Harry?)

I went to check the price and BFSB have him still at 100/1, 66s with SJ and as short as 33s in a place.

Chance he could go up in trip so won't go over board, but watch the debut and see what you think..... Arkle might well cut up and I wouldn't mind a 100/1 shot on my side...connections mentioned the Scilly Isles at Sandown (3rd February) after the win and that is a grade 1 so must think a bit of him too!

0.5pt e/w Saint Calvados 100/1 Arkle

Actually, 66/1 for the JLT too and if he goes Scilly Isles maybe that is more likely....
0.5 pt e/w Saint Calvados 66/1 JLT

Take a bow. Seriously impressive stuff this

[doctorwu]

Great call Kev. He could nick a place.

[charlie]

Great call Kev. He could nick a place.

I don't think anyone would be shocked if he won it.

[Kevloaf]

Thanks. Credit to Brital though he mentioned him in the first place!

I listened to a few podcasts today and he is certainly looking like being the "sexy" pick which doesn't increase his chances but does at least make things seem exciting

[Brital]

Thanks. Credit to Brital though he mentioned him in the first place!

I listened to a few podcasts today and he is certainly looking like being the "sexy" pick which doesn't increase his chances but does at least make things seem exciting

Thanks Kev. The Arkle is shaping up to be my best race.
I have 2 pts win on SC at 100/1 (wish that was 2pts ew now)
1 pt ew on Sceau Royal @ 33/1
4 pts win on PM @ 12/1

I had 2 pts win on Footpad @ 15/1, but laid off for a guaranteed 8/1 win when his price went silly.

That gives a vague impression I know what I’m doing as long as I don’t mention how many points I wasted on Shantou Rock

[mayo]

Brain Power is a bit of a wild card in this. Hendo said he is only horse in yard who can work with Altior or something like that in his blog. 1UF doesn’t scream Arkle winner but if he got round ...

[Kevloaf]

Brain Power is a bit of a wild card in this. Hendo said he is only horse in yard who can work with Altior or something like that in his blog. 1UF doesn’t scream Arkle winner but if he got round ...

I'm cautious of the "work with" comments.... Charli Parcs is the Champion Hurdler in that case

[mayo]

I'm cautious of the "work with" comments.... Charli Parcs is the Champion Hurdler in that case

Yep. But best hurdler used to be the way to find the winner of this. PM and Brainpower better than any of these over hurdles.

[doctorwu]

Yep. But best hurdler used to be the way to find the winner of this. PM and Brainpower better than any of these over hurdles.

PM maybe?? but Brainpower....................

[Scooby91]

Yep. But best hurdler used to be the way to find the winner of this. PM and Brainpower better than any of these over hurdles.

Footpads better over hurdles than brain power.

[Folski]

Are we sure Footpad is the right one to be on here?

[opatcho]

Nope. I think Footpad should be in the JLT

As much as I don’t like to say this, but Sceau Royale performance at sandown stands out. Not keen connections taking him to Doncaster... but think the early pace will set this up for him