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Arkle 2018

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  • Originally posted by Middle_Of_March View Post
    Staggering that PM is the price he is depsite beating the favourite three times last year over hurdles.

    Footpad has looked the most natural novice chaser I’ve seen but he’s not beaten a lot whereas PM has better Hurdle form.
    I think the difference in price is because Footpad has looked a Natural over fences and has some very nice runs backing it up.... Footpad wasn't far behind PM over hurdles but looks to have improved loads as a chaser... wheras we dont know whether PM has improved or stayed the same (or I suppose gotten worse) over fences based on 1 run....

    Albeit I can see why PM is a more attractive bet at this stage... but the price looks right rather than wrong IMO compared to Footpad.

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
      I think the difference in price is because Footpad has looked a Natural over fences and has some very nice runs backing it up.... Footpad wasn't far behind PM over hurdles but looks to have improved loads as a chaser... wheras we dont know whether PM has improved or stayed the same (or I suppose gotten worse) over fences based on 1 run....

      Albeit I can see why PM is a more attractive bet at this stage... but the price looks right rather than wrong IMO compared to Footpad.
      I don't see much downside backing PM nrnb at his current price. This market could change on its head in 10 days time.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
        I don't see much downside backing PM nrnb at his current price. This market could change on its head in 10 days time.
        If you're not already on yeah, I can see why it is a more attractive bet as I said.

        I'm not in any hurry at all to get involved though now...

        Comment


        • The advantage is fully on the side of Footpad at Leopardstown and when you take into account hurdling form, unless Petit Mouchoir gets blown away by Footpad next weekend then there will likely be enough optimism in the PM camp that they can reverse form at Cheltenham. And if he did get blown away then there's a strong chance the NRNB will come into play and bail you out. So from anyone looking at this race fresh, a bet on Petit Mouchour has only a small risk really.

          Any slight doubts on the suitability of Cheltenham and good ground for Footpad could also be levelled at Petit Mouchoir too?

          Comment


          • Entries out for this. 9 for WPM.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
              Entries out for this. 9 for WPM.
              Very small field. Can write off a whole host entered up whos going further without the ones that are well held.

              Suprised mount news entered this weekend without an arkle entry. (Entered jlt and rsa)


              I can only see 8 runners there at best.
              Last edited by Scooby91; 25 January 2018, 12:51 PM.
              https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
              Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

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              • He's really exciting," said trainer Harry Whittington, who's only housed him since late last year. "Aidan [Coleman, his rider] felt he was sharper for the run and his jumping was tidier. Keeping him in a handicap tells us whether we're good enough for graded races and I think we're pretty set for the Kingmaker.

                "He’s got loads of gears and I can't see any reason why we'd step him up in trip."

                Pleased with these comments for now

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                • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                  He's really exciting," said trainer Harry Whittington, who's only housed him since late last year. "Aidan [Coleman, his rider] felt he was sharper for the run and his jumping was tidier. Keeping him in a handicap tells us whether we're good enough for graded races and I think we're pretty set for the Kingmaker.

                  "He’s got loads of gears and I can't see any reason why we'd step him up in trip."

                  Pleased with these comments for now
                  So why enter him in the JLT then?

                  Perhaps when they realise he can't win the Arkle but the JLT is a very open race things might look a touch different?

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by kinloch brae View Post
                    So why enter him in the JLT then?

                    Perhaps when they realise he can't win the Arkle but the JLT is a very open race things might look a touch different?
                    In case he whips around at the start in the Arkle

                    Comment


                    • Not writing off Bunk Off Early yet as he would surely have won yesterday. However, there would be question marks about whether the occasion was too much last year and I'd be happy for him to stay at home.
                      On the other hand, and this is purely a personal view, his Leopardstown form is definitely better than his 142 hurdle rating.....

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by archie View Post
                        Not writing off Bunk Off Early yet as he would surely have won yesterday. However, there would be question marks about whether the occasion was too much last year and I'd be happy for him to stay at home.
                        On the other hand, and this is purely a personal view, his Leopardstown form is definitely better than his 142 hurdle rating.....
                        Agree Archie
                        Stay at home after that
                        Gone into my notebook for Punchestown

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                        • Least impressive performance thus far from Sceau Royal but it's job done and on to the festival now..

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                          • Originally posted by Innoko View Post
                            Least impressive performance thus far from Sceau Royal but it's job done and on to the festival now..
                            Didn't impress me one bit, Footpad jumps even better than Shantou rock there so I'm sure Ruby will have Daryl at it from a long way out. Just need FP to blow away Petit Mouchoir next weekend now..

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by darlojim View Post
                              Didn't impress me one bit, Footpad jumps even better than Shantou rock there so I'm sure Ruby will have Daryl at it from a long way out. Just need FP to blow away Petit Mouchoir next weekend now..
                              It's desperate ground at Donny though.

                              Sceau Royal needs better ground to utilise his speed.

                              Comment


                              • Saint Calvados form boosted today. Not sure who advised that 50/1 but it would be nice to be on that now.

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