FJ Day One Festival Yankee - Manager Leman14

[Istabraq]

Get discussing....

[Leman14]

Thanks Ista no pressure !?!?

So... 4 choices from the following

Supreme Novices
Arkle
Ultima Handicap Chase
Champion Hurdle
Mares Hurdle
4-Miler
Close Brothers Novice Chase

Given that we are doing Win Yankees, I will avoid The Arkle (due to Altiors dominance), so suggestions for the other 6 are welcome

[Kevloaf]

Got the without Altior market that we could look at.

Also, been through and looked at all last years and general concensus seemed to be each way... I am happy with either.

[Faugheen_Machine]

Good luck Leman - I'll get my thinking cap on.

[Istabraq]

I'm very ken on Mall Dini in the 3m chase if he gets confirmed for this.....

[Faugheen_Machine]

I'm very ken on Mall Dini in the 3m chase if he gets confirmed for this.....

So am i.

[Leman14]

I'm very ken on Mall Dini in the 3m chase if he gets confirmed for this.....

Certainly one already on the short-list
Course/festival form, Davy R is the saddle and aimed at this all season. (Or so it would seem)

[Leman14]

Got the without Altior market that we could look at.

Also, been through and looked at all last years and general concensus seemed to be each way... I am happy with either.

Good point Kev...
Just had a quick look myself and EW value is the way forward.

[horseflyuk]

Hey guys, been following for a while but first comment. I have done a lot of ante post bets but have left out a lot of the handicaps. On something like Mall Dini would you be betting now at 12s or with WH insurance at 10s or do you think price would relatively hold when declared?

[Istabraq]

Day One used to be a terrible yankee day as the Mullins domination led to a number of Tuesday shorties, not the case this year thankfully.

Horseflyuk - I know a very good judge who says the worst time to bet is when the NRNB kicks in, all the prices shorten too much.
I remember Minella Rocco was 5/1 fav for the 4 miler last year a week before the race, was available at 10/1 on the day before an SP of 8/1.
If Mall Dini gets confirmed for the 3m handicap I suspect he'll be trimmed to around 7/1 which I expect will hold right to the off and prices on the day may well be a little bigger, so no I don't see him being double figures but the bookie reaction to his confirmed target will probably be too aggressive...

[horseflyuk]

Thanks Istabraq, appreciate the response

[Mytentoryours1]

Day One used to be a terrible yankee day as the Mullins domination led to a number of Tuesday shorties, not the case this year thankfully.

Horseflyuk - I know a very good judge who says the worst time to bet is when the NRNB kicks in, all the prices shorten too much.
I remember Minella Rocco was 5/1 fav for the 4 miler last year a week before the race, was available at 10/1 on the day before an SP of 8/1.
If Mall Dini gets confirmed for the 3m handicap I suspect he'll be trimmed to around 7/1 which I expect will hold right to the off and prices on the day may well be a little bigger, so no I don't see him being double figures but the bookie reaction to his confirmed target will probably be too aggressive...

Agree with the point re nrnb.

I'll throw Bunk Off Early into the mix for the Supreme.

[ryanh97]

Anyone else fancy Genieinabottle for the 4 miler?

[Mon Brav]

A lot of confidence growing over this horse Ryan, I think it could give us a great start.

[Istabraq]

I'd be against Genieinabottle on age along, May 26th foal will be 10 weeks shy of his 6th birthday on raceday and for an Irish bred I don't see him winning, French bred (where they jump hurdles at 2 and fences at 3) then yes every chance, but stamina everything here and I'll be focussing on the older horses...