Cheltenham Specials....

[ryanh97]

They've only cut Tizzard to win the Gold Cup from 4/6 to 8/13 ... seems kind with Don Cossack no longer a threat.

Id soon rather take that than take TC's price

[Liammet]

PP just gone nrnb on the 4 championship races

[Faugheen_Machine]

It's not for me but Douvan looks too big at 1/3. Altior at 3/1 overpriced too on account that he'll only run if Douvan doesn't.

[jono]

Thanks for the heads up Liam.

5/4 Faugheen
2/1 Annie

Odds against indeed - What am I missing??!

[Faugheen_Machine]

I'm going to have to back Annie at 2/1.

[Kevloaf]

It's not for me but Douvan looks too big at 1/3. Altior at 3/1 overpriced too on account that he'll only run if Douvan doesn't.

Yeh 100% agree with both of those. Probably won't bother with Douvan though... I mean, he'll be 1/3 on the day SURELY? If not, I don't even care at this point? (For how much I'd need on now to be worthwhile??)

Altior 100% though, going to back that now... and I do think God's Own is over priced, I think it is Ista that is a big fan of him for this race, and still very generous odds...



F and AP .... not sure what to do? I actully have AP at 5/2 to win any race, so I'm tempted to just leave it. Faugheen will surely shorten though if he wins the Irish CH and that is surely good enough?



Douvan Faugheen double? 2/1 NRNB ....

[jono]

Douvan Faugheen double? 2/1 NRNB ....

I like it...I like it a lot!

[Faugheen_Machine]

That Champion Hurdle market takes getting your head round. Sceau Royal is catching my eye at 33/1.

[jono]

The whole market in the champion hurdle looks very reasonable as a whole. I was expecting some very short prices across the board

[Kevloaf]

I am not sure what to do.... is 5/4 a price I would pile in to for Faugheen on the day? Or 2/1 Annie on the day? I just don't know what to think.
Pleased Yorkhill has no odds at all though haha

[Faugheen_Machine]

Yorkhill was the first horse I looked for. A sensible move by P Power not to quote him imo

[jono]

No Buveur D'air either. Him and Yorkhill would have been the 2 interests that if reverting back to hurdles would be major players.

I am not sure what to do.... is 5/4 a price I would pile in to for Faugheen on the day? Or 2/1 Annie on the day? I just don't know what to think.

I'm the same. I know we spoke about potentially them going odds against on this a few days back but I never believed it!
I feel like there's something i'm missing...

[Liammet]

If faugheen runs next week then it will be champion hurdle for him
Mares hurdle for Annie Power
Therefore, 5/1 VVM for stayers hurdle looks big to me. NRNB

[Kevloaf]

Bookies will probably do offers on Faugheen / Douvan at 2/1 the week before? (OR 3/1 Annie / Douvan) ... I mean, they let Annie go off a big price and plenty (PLENTY) of people will want to get them beat with the prep they've had, which isn't ideal.

I seem to have my head fixated on the perceived fact that "if they turn up they win" which makes 5/4 look fantastic to me for Faugheen. The price being at 5/4 seems to be the thing giving me trouble though, do I really want to be hammered a 5/4 shot with that many question marks, before a come back run...

Now what price will Faugheen be in this market after 29th Jan...., if he does make it to the course and A, wins or B, loses ... he'll be odds on or bigger, and if he doesn't make the race C, Bigger again?

[mayo]

If faugheen runs next week then it will be champion hurdle for him
Mares hurdle for Annie Power
Therefore, 5/1 VVM for stayers hurdle looks big to me. NRNB

Agree will be target but VVM might be over rated in my view - she's good not a wonder mare. Annie is at a different level.

Can see her placing just in stayers but something else got to win ?