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Neptune Novices Hurdle 2017

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  • They said he is 50/50 ... and if Ruby picked him (unlikely?) I'd want him onside (unfortunately, he already is 'on-side' so I won't back him again) but Mullins' record in the race is really good and they fancied him to beat Death Duty that day...he must have some ability somewhere! It is also because I like DD/Monalee so I can't like two from the same race without wanting to have the other, as you said, 1.5l isn't too far, especially if the ground brings about improvement and Monalee might be better over further?

    I'm just trying to see what I need to do to adjust my ante-post positions (if at all) if I have a strong view on the race. I can't see any way back from the hype around Neon Wolf.... I am sure I have posted in here when he was a bigger price than FO that I thought it was wrong and the market has flip-flopped which is great. I really, really, really like him. The form isn't brilliant but he is absolutely brutal and just looks absolute class to my (untrained) eyes!

    I don't like MDO, although wouldn't be able to rule it out of the places, solid enough form beating Ballyandy for example, but nothing glashy at all. A double MDO and Wholestone would tempt me... both to place. but happy enough to overlook.

    I don't like Bacardys, I haven't got any decent reasons not to, and CCM made some good points, and I have backed at 9/1 - I just have doubts about the Deloitte form on the whole and nothing more than gut feeling than if Mullins is winning races with Bacardys he'd end up having a magnificent Cheltenham, and that doesn't seem particularly likely.... A bit contradictory though from what I've said earlier. I haven't got any decent reasons not to

    Finian's Oscar is at a price now that is pretty fair. At 5/1 if he hacked up, I wouldn't begrudge anyone that had fancied him.I wouldn't rule him out of the 3, despite not looking impressive to my eyes or having any decent formlines, but he can only beat what is in front of him.

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    • I have been looking at this race for a while now, my initial thoughts was Bacardys with Mullins record in the race plus more but horses with flat backgrounds are a no no apparently!

      Neon Wolf and Finian's I just cannot get into for some reason - the former is being backed in considerably though!

      MDO cannot win because he won the Challow but will probably place.

      Atm I keep looking at Monalee and Willoughby Court ha!

      I am right in thinking that something has to win this race doesn't it?

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      • Actually, did Bacardys start his career on the flat?

        Maybe it was the Deloitte win that put me off...

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        • I definitely have my reservations about Bacardys , but , I think you'd be a brave man not to have him in one of your L.15/yankee's.,. . Like a fair few of my A/P bets , got Monalee - but in the alb, so I have done another one now with m/lee in nept,. F. oscar to win though for me.

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          • I'm surprised Beyond Conceit hasn't been mentioned more, won well last time out despite being very free. Similar profile to Bunk off Early being flat bred but I'm fairly sure Henderson will send him to the Neptune

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            • I cant have Bacardys at all. If NW switched could DD come here ? Monalee going to AB according to Henry.

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              • Originally posted by mayo View Post
                I cant have Bacardys at all. If NW switched could DD come here ? Monalee going to AB according to Henry.
                Where is that latest quote from?

                Monalee will avoid DD is the last thing I've heard HdB say?

                Personally don't think Elliott would change target based on Neon Wolf... and he has said 100% AB too?

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                • Originally posted by Unexposed View Post
                  I'm surprised Beyond Conceit hasn't been mentioned more, won well last time out despite being very free. Similar profile to Bunk off Early being flat bred but I'm fairly sure Henderson will send him to the Neptune
                  If you believe what he says Henderson prefers the Supreme. I would agree as he isn't slow and the faster pace should help him settle. Good to soft would be ideal.

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                  • 2017 Neptune Novices Hurdle

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                    • Plenty of blue on oddschecker for Let's Dance now...

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                      • Originally posted by Can't Catch Me View Post
                        Plenty of blue on oddschecker for Let's Dance now...
                        I've just doubled Let's Dance and Airlie Beach. I really hope this is where let's Dance ends up.

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                        • Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
                          I've just doubled Let's Dance and Airlie Beach. I really hope this is where let's Dance ends up.
                          Concur - have just done this double myself cos I feel LD is ripe for the Neptune, RIPE

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                          • We seem to have 2 Neptune threads !

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                            • Anyone know what time the declarations are out today? I see Invitation Only is at 15s on the exchange now. Either words out he runs or its just traders edging on side of caution ?

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                              • Confirmations close at noon.

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