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If Might Bite was double figures at this stage, I would have a mega amount on. The price his is now reflects his chances based on his Kempton run. Chelt might not be his optimum and I accept all the knockers for him, but at double figures you'd be bonkers to not back him.
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Cheers guys, ive chucked him in a 2pt multiple with UNWINH but will steer clear of a single. Im on ADO at 16s so thatll doComment
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Is Bellshill too big at 12s NRNB? Still the target. Excuses when falling LTO (performed poorly there twice previously) and will have Ruby Walsh on board on the day. Won't be 12s on the day!back now and lay on the morning?Last edited by Kevloaf; 16 February 2017, 01:17 PM.Comment
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I can see the angle Kev, but he seems to have a knack for under performing at certain tracks and if you take the under performing LTO literally you'd have to consider his lack of form at Cheltenham too IMO, irrelevent of distance.
For trading purposes though as suggested I don't see it being a problem, because as we know the Ruby factor will kick in.Comment
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I think I probably will to be fair. Not my idea of the winner at all (just said very similar about Limini) but looks a shortener because I can't see how Ruby will be on anything else?Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View PostComment
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Definite runners ?
Might Bite
Alpha Des Obeaux
Royal Vocation
Our Kaempher
O O Seven
???Comment
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Sounds like you can add American to the list
American is good and we have said all along we are taking it a day at a time.
"He worked well on Saturday morning and we will keep working forward towards the RSA in all probability, but we are not getting ahead of ourselves.
"It needs to be slow enough ground to run, purely just because he is fragile.
"It was a good performance of jumping at Warwick and it was one of the best performances of jumping you will see, what he did down the back straight."Comment
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I still wouldn't back without NRNB on American.... sounds like soft MUST be in the going or he won't take his chance.Comment
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Hi guys,
New member to the site. Ive been reading through the threads during the day, cracking site you have here!
Anyone got any thoughts or news on Coney Island for this race? I think might bite will take some stopping if at its best but Coney Islands 2nd to Our Duke in December (Disko 3rd) wouldn't be the worst piece of form in the world would it?
Or will he go to the JLT?Comment
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I'm hoping he goes here IP. It's difficult to tell where he'll go judging by the exchangesComment
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Hi IC.
No news, my thoughts are that he'd be competitive in either. I would slightly favour the RSA (3m) though... his defeat against Haymount aover 2m4f would worry me and Mall Dini was very close to him... and he is also better over further. For me, if Coney Island was better at the intermediate trip, he should have been putting Haymount and/or Mall Dini away.
The issue would be, he has been out-battled/stayed over further... His form is solid, without behind special for me... I personally don't think his price is generous, and he isn't my idea of the winner. I backed him at 10/1 NRNB for the JLT but I am hoping I don't get a run for my money in that race now!Comment
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Just been looking on the Gaults Stats website for the first time, and Might Bite is quite a big negative for this race on the bare stats.
He's a year too old.
No Listed Hurdle win.
No winner since 2002 that had fallen on their last 3 starts.
I'm hoping he can be the stat buster, as I have him in plenty of multi's @ 12/1.Comment
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Yeah at the price he is now, people will easily be able to pick holes in his profile.
You've got the value though, so easier to ignore them. At 1/4 the price those stats seem more important
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I'm quite worried despite the prices I got for him, now that I have read the stats on the ideal profile for the winner of this race, lol!Comment
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Year too old - not too worrying, still lightly raced?
No listed hurdle win - Not ideal, but won 2 out of his 3 hurdle runs
Faller stat - that would worry me a lot more if it was LTO
There is the "no Feltham winner has ever won in 19 years" too, but Coneygree won the Gold Cup in his RSA year so I don't care about that one particularly.
Who does fit the trends?Comment
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