Tweet
Originally posted by ryanh97
View Post
Fat Jockey Patrons
Fat Jockey is a horse racing community focused on all the big races in the UK and Ireland. We don't charge users but if you have found the site useful then any support towards the running costs is appreciated.
Become a Patron!
You can also make a one-off donation here:
Become a Patron!
You can also make a one-off donation here:
See more
See less
-
A very interesting entry. i suspect he will carry a lot of weight though with the high OR -
Wait for him to be pulled on the morning of the race and watch a stablemate with 10st 8lb gag up....Originally posted by Jonnymac05 View PostComment
-
Guys when does the qualifying mark come out. 138 last year, think it might go up to maybe 140. on quick look through the entries there are a lot of horses ranging from 140-163.Comment
-
He won't be going, otherwise he would be entered in the CH.Originally posted by Istabraq View PostComment
-
Yeah I can't see Arctic Fire running. At the 2015 festival he was rated 154, he's gone up since then, so I'd imagine he'd be giving the field a hell of a lot of weight, trends/stats give him no chance, the last 11 winners have all been rated between 130-140. Though same connections did win it in 2015 with Wicklow Brave.
Willie has 7 entries in total for the race, so will be interesting to see who we are left with in a couple of weeks time.
Him and Paul Nicholls seem to have a very good record in the race since the turn of the century, winning 7 of the last 16 (43.75%) renewals.
Edit: Renneti interests me, but currently looks to have a too high a rating based purely on the trends/stats for it.Last edited by ComplyOrDie; 23 February 2017, 03:13 PM.Comment
-
Some other interesting entries include, Joey Sasa, no rating in the Post, and also High bridge and Ivanovic gorbachov.
I'm in on North Hill Harvey who has a rating of 149, so will be carrying
Comment
-
Its a big trend that nothing over 139 wins.Comment
-
Indeed, it's a trend I'm inclined to keep on the right side of too, which is why, despite currently liking Renneti, he may well not be the answer to this race for me come race day.Originally posted by doctorwu View PostComment
-
Will need to wait for the Irish horses to be given marks before making any decisions on this, but as some have mentioned the last 11 winners have been rated in the 130s so that should help rule some out for now for win purposes. I know a few fancied North Hill Harvey but he'd be a massive trends buster to win off 149 and there's a few of the Irish who are likely to be around that mark based on their Irish marks - Ivanovich Gorbatov and Renetti. I'm not saying it's impossible for anything in the 140s to win, but it'd be a massive jump for something in the high 140s to do so.Comment
-
#13
Jonnymac05
Senior Member
Join Date
Feb 2015
Posts
115
Based on the stats of the last 17/18 runners on ratings that would leave a shortlist of:
Mick Jazz
Consul De Thaix
William H Bonney
Thats A Wrap
Max Dynamite
Tommy Silver
De Name Escapes Me
Presenting Percy
Fergall
Wait For Me
Hint of Mint
Pique Sous
Air Horse One
Apasionado
Instant Karma
Sternrubin
Winter Escapes
Vosne Romanee
Tigris River
Wakea
Hargam
Princley Conn & Chesterfield
From that list I have managed to get it down to 11 with all the Non Runners
Mick Jazz
William H Bonney
De Name Escapes Me
Wait For Me
Air Horse One
Apasianada
Winter Escape
Vosne Romanee
Wakea
Hargam
ChesterfieldLast edited by Liam301287; 23 February 2017, 04:37 PM.Comment
-
-
Based on the trends of last 11 yrs we can bring that list down to:
William H Bonney (But might not get in off 134)
De Name Escapes Me ( Same as above rated 134)
Wait For Me ( OR 135)
Apasianada ( OR 134)
Vosne Romanee (139)
Chesterfield (131)
Hargam not included for stats as OR is 140 but still has a shotComment
-
and fact some might not get in due to low marks the standout horse is VOSNE ROMANEE (also a 6yr old which is good for stats) currently 25/1(NRNB)Originally posted by Jonnymac05 View PostComment
-
Why cant I find vosne romanee on attheraces?Comment
-
Comment