Announcement

Collapse
1 of 2 < >

Crowdfunder - Fat Jockey Forum upgrade

Hello Fat Jockeys,

Upgrading the Fat Jockey forum!: https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/p/fatjockeyforum

We're looking to upgrade the 'hosting CPU' so I've set up a crowdfunding project.

I would love it if you could donate using the link below to access my project page. Any contribution large or small will be hugely appreciated. Thank you.

Kevloaf @ Fat Jockey
2 of 2 < >

Fat Jockey Patrons

HELP US - Become a Patron - Fat Jockey is a horse racing community focused on all the big races in the UK and Ireland. We don't charge users but if you have found the site useful then any support towards the running costs is appreciated ... a small donation each month would be a huge contribution.
Become a Patron!
See more
See less

Chelters 2016 Antepost bets

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Guy on oddschecker had this on Mullins runners

    Andy Holding | Wednesday 6th January 2016 / 13:30
    Race-by-race guide to Willie Mullins' Cheltenham Fesival team

    Having enjoyed a record-breaking Cheltenham Festival last year with eight winners and the monopolies commission threatening to intervene, we take a look at the powerhouse that is Willie Mullins and some of the likely targets for his stars at this seasons four-day jamboree.

    DAY ONE

    SUPREME NOVICES’ HURDLE
    MIN – Looks like being the main stable representative at this stage based on the ante-post market, although will need to do more on his next assignment in the Moscow Flyer Hurdle to justify such skinny odds than he did by landing a modest Punchestown maiden hurdle in a slow time.

    YORKHILL – Showed plenty of speed to land the Tolworth at Sandown last time, but the fact that he was equally impressive over 2m 4f the time before gives his trainer a slight dilemma with regards to his best trip. One more run before the festival – likely to be in the Deloitte Hurdle at Leopardstown – will shed further light.

    ARKLE
    DOUVAN – Last season’s champion novice hurdler has made a seamless switch to fences and he already looks untouchable in this discipline based on his two victories so far to date. Clocked an amazing time for a novice when beating three smart rivals at Leopardstown over Christmas and given that he’s likely to scare most of the opposition off, odds of 8/11 look generous even with two months to go.


    CHAMPION HURDLE
    FAUGHEEN – Although surprisingly lost his unbeaten record to stable mate Nichols Canyon in the Morgiana on his seasonal return, last year’s Champion still remains a warm order to retain his crown and still looks the one to beat based on his scintillating display when back on track in the Christmas Hurdle.

    NICHOLS CANYON – Seemed to beat Faugheen on merit in the Morgiana and shown plenty of grit and determination when overcoming a persistent challenge from Identity Thief last time out. A run in the Irish Champion should set this game, little warrior up for a re-match with his stable mate.
    ARCTIC FIRE – Despite blowing out when experimenting with 3m last time, connections insist that he will still be heading down the 2m route and bid to try and go one place better than last year.

    MARES’ HURDLE
    ANNIE POWER – Almost certain to come here in a bid to atone for the last-flight fall in last year’s renewal.

    VROUM VROUM MAG – Totally dominant in most mares’ chase races on home soil and unlikely to run here if Annie Power (same ownership) turns up in one piece.

    MORNING RUN – Very smart mare but ran as though not quite seeing out the trip at Leopardstown recently, so there has to be a slight question mark over her participation.

    NH CHASE
    PONT ALEXANDRE – As Willie Mullins tends to run his potential Gold Cup prospects for next season in the RSA, it would be a surprise if this classy individual lines up here.

    BLACK HERCULES – Jumped immaculately when easily accounting for stable mate Sambremont at Navan on chase debut, but would seem more of a RSA-type based on his overall profile at this stage.

    SAMBREMONT – Although well beaten by Black Hercules on chase debut, 2m 4f that day would have been well short of his best and shapes like the type that will be well suited by extreme distances. Will get an entry in this race.

    KILLULTAGH VIC – Last year’s Martin Pipe Hurdle hero made a bright start to his chase career with a smooth victory at Fairyhouse – jumping well and posting a smart speed figure. Showed the pace to win over 2m that day and accounted for Thistlecrack over 3m last season, so unlikely to down this route with the more likely target being the RSA.

    ROI DES FRANCS – Well backed to win last season’s Martin Pipe Hurdle but found himself short of speed over the 2m 5f trip and looks more of a stayer based on his two runs so far over fences. Represents connections that like to have runners in this event and looks a likely type for this sort of test at this stage.

    DAY TWO

    NEPTUNE NOVICES' HURDLE
    BELLSHILL – Not short of pace - as his run in last season’s Aintree bumper proves - but has been impressive on both his two starts over hurdles so far this term and looks the yard’s chief 2m 4f novice on all known form.

    YORKHILL – Runs in same ownership as Bellshill so it’s unlikely the pair will clash here.

    LONG DOG – Well placed to win two Grade 1’s, but whether he’s in the same class as Bellshill is open to debate and the ground will be the determining factor which race connections decide, if at all.

    THOMAS HOBSON – Clocked a smart time when making all the running at Punchestown on latest start (ran last circuit 2.8 seconds faster than Min on same card), but whether he jumps well enough to win a Grade 1 event is open to question and yard haven’t really talked him up much as a Cheltenham horse either.

    RSA CHASE
    PONT ALEXANDRE – Looked good when making a winning comeback after two years off the track at Punchestown recently and this former Grade 1 winner over hurdles is likely to end up the stable’s number one choice for this contest with a trouble-free passage to the festival.

    QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE
    UN DE SCEAUX – Remains on target for this prize despite an untimely blip at Leopardstown on his seasonal reappearance but bookmakers will be fully aware he’s now tipped up twice in six starts over fences and he’s one the old enemy will want and try and get.

    CHAMPION BUMPER
    16/1 the field and with nothing that has given us the ‘wow’ factor as of yet, the master trainer will no doubt be unleashing some of his more likely types in the next month or so.

    DAY THREE

    JLT NOVES' CHASE
    Fresh off unleashing Vautour to scintillating effect in last season’s renewal, all eyes will be focusing on SHANESHILL delivering the goods for the Co Carlow handler, particularly as this race is now a Grade 1 affair. Although likely to get multiple entries, this seems the logical port of call for the son of King’s Theatre and other than showing a tendency to dive at one or two of his fences, he has similar qualities to his brilliant stable companion.

    RYANAIR CHASE
    Despite Mullins being unequivocal in his recent Racing Post column that VAUTOUR still remains on target for the Gold Cup, if there were a vox pop involving most racing judges, the large majority would suggest this was the ideal race for last season’s brilliant JLT hero. Although he seemed to stay the 3m well enough in the King George, there has to be a slight doubt over his ability to see out the extra two furlongs over a stiff track and it will probably all boil down to what the ground is riding like during the Festival before connections make their final decision.

    MARES NOVICES' HURDLE
    MYSKA – This race was nominated as a likely target after winning on these shores at Taunton last time and this scopey mare is a must for the shortlist.

    LIMINI – Hasn’t run since making a winning Irish debut back in May last year and doesn’t have any imminent entries so hard to know what the plans are with this potentially useful mare.

    LISTEN DEAR – Wildly impressive when spread-eagling her field in a monster time figure at Down Royal back in November and would be an interesting contender should she be given the green light (same ownership as Myska)

    DAY FOUR

    TRIUMPH HURDLE
    APPLE’S JADE – Yet to be confirmed as a definite Triumph runner, but clocked a smart time when landing a Grade 2 on her Irish debut and we will probably know more after another run in a respected trial.

    LET’S DANCE – Was backed as if defeat was out of the question to make a winning Irish debut but bumped into a fair tool in the shape of Ivanovich Gorbatov – who is now a clear favourite for the Triumph. Entered in the Grade 1 at Chepstow this weekend and his performance there is likely to shed more light.

    ALBERT BARTLETT NOVICES' HURDLE
    UP FOR REVIEW has improved out of all recognition since stepping up in trip and rubber-stamped his name down as a likely candidate for this gruelling affair with big win on the numbers at Punchestown last time out.

    GOLD CUP
    DJAKADAM – All roads lead back to the Blue Riband for last year’s runner-up following his win in the John Durkan, with the Irish Hennessy the most likely prep-race on route.

    DON POLI – Isn’t as easy on the eye as stable mates Vautour and Djakadam but is tough as an old boot and stay all day, so should be tailor-made for the demands of this race.

    VAUTOUR – Despite all the right noises coming from the yard that this will be his race, given how well he scored over the Ryanair trip at last year’s festival, it’s a case of keeping all ante-post bets ‘with a run’ with this fella until a definitive decision is made nearer the time.

    Comment


    • Cracking post Mayo. Great insight and agree with the "mystery" that is Limini. Maybe she goes straight to the festival if they hold her in such high regard but feel if not there the Myska is a player and a big one at that.

      Comment


      • So where do we stick Triole D'Alene, travelled like a dream and won as he liked, impressive after more than a year off, does he enter the Gold cup picture

        Comment


        • Originally posted by MrMcGoldrick View Post
          So where do we stick Triole D'Alene, travelled like a dream and won as he liked, impressive after more than a year off, does he enter the Gold cup picture
          Probably blew the National there. Poor placement.

          Comment


          • Originally posted by mayo View Post
            Probably blew the National there. Poor placement.

            Ptit Zig was well beaten when he fell so if the handicapper takes his run against Vautour at face value TD will be carrying 15stone in the National

            Comment


            • Originally posted by MrMcGoldrick View Post
              Ptit Zig was well beaten when he fell so if the handicapper takes his run against Vautour at face value TD will be carrying 15stone in the National
              Tommo was impressed though

              <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Great training performance from Nicky Henderson with Triolo d&#39;alene at Kempton and now the Grand National <a href="https://twitter.com/AintreeRaces">@AintreeRaces</a></p>&mdash; Derek Thompson (@tommoracing) <a href="https://twitter.com/tommoracing/status/685826589536432128">January 9, 2016</a></blockquote>
              <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

              Comment


              • Originally posted by MrMcGoldrick View Post
                So where do we stick Triole D'Alene, travelled like a dream and won as he liked, impressive after more than a year off, does he enter the Gold cup picture
                I am pretty sure he is a novice over hurdles. Albert Bartlett

                Comment


                • Originally posted by TheRowebot View Post
                  I've got an acca of American Pharoah (already won), Min, Douvan, Faugheen and Annie Power for 2.5k...

                  Had no luck with Annie Power the past two years so cue an apperance in the World Hurdle to scupper this year!
                  Getting a little excited now with this bet...

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by mayo View Post
                    I am pretty sure he is a novice over hurdles. Albert Bartlett
                    With some of the Gold cup hopefulls he wouldn't look out of place but he'll probably be kept for the Nash, if he were in the Mullins yard he'd be in everything from the Supreme to the Grand Annual, they'd probably get him a dodgy birth certificate and a set of boobs so they could put him in the triumph and the 2 mares races
                    Last edited by MrMcGoldrick; 9 January 2016, 02:50 PM.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by TheRowebot View Post
                      Getting a little excited now with this bet...
                      Not surprised Rb, if you don't get excited about a bet like that this close to the fez you probably shouldn't be backing horses

                      Comment


                      • Very true! It makes it all the better that it was a £5 free bet from Skybet!

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by TheRowebot View Post
                          Very true! It makes it all the better that it was a £5 free bet from Skybet!
                          I'll bet whoever authorised that freebie is printing off his CV this weekend

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by TheRowebot View Post
                            Very true! It makes it all the better that it was a £5 free bet from Skybet!
                            Good Luck ! Looks inspired and hope they all run for you.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
                              The latest horse I've started to put in multiples is Blue Hell in the county. Supposedly goes straight for the race after winning impressively lto. The form of the race is looking good with 2 next time out winners from 3 runners. The runner up Diamond King runs this afternoon. Obviously unsure what our handicapper will make of it but he should get a mark in the low 140's.

                              It's not everyone's cup of tea getting involved with the handicaps this early but I can't help myself!!
                              Diamond King won nicely and BH's price has been cut as a result. After doing some digging, BH was entered for the Lanzarote and given a mark of 141. His trainer seems happy with the mark and is targeting the County Hurdle. I've topped up my bets.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
                                Diamond King won nicely and BH's price has been cut as a result. After doing some digging, BH was entered for the Lanzarote and given a mark of 141. His trainer seems happy with the mark and is targeting the County Hurdle. I've topped up my bets.
                                Cheers FM, will look to include that somewhere, I have a liking for the look of Special Tiara in the QM so will probably start with a nice ew double

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X